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ETS only

Brief characterisation: Under this pathway, no binding RES targets would exist for 2030. Instead, the European Emission Trading Scheme (ETS) represents the key driver at EU level for the deployment of low carbon technologies in the period beyond 2020, under which two variants are considered: a scenario of “low carbon prices” corresponding to the Commission’s policy option of a “business as usual” development; and a case of “moderate to high carbon prices”, reflecting a decarbonisation without dedicated RES targets post-2020.

Subsequently, results for the latter variant are presented. Thus, since no dedicated incentives for RES are assumed to be in place no related (direct) support expenditures for new RES installed in the period 2021 to 2030 occur and, consequently, can be indicated.


Figure 5 - 1.   Technology-specific breakdown of RES-E generation from new installations (2021 to 2030) at EU-27 level in the year 2030, indicating deployment in absolute terms (left) and the change compared to reference (right) (for the assessed policy pathway 5 (ETS only))

Figure 5 - 2.   Country-specific breakdown of RES and RES-E generation from new installations (2021 to 2030) in the year 2030, indicating RES(-E) deployment as share in corresponding demand (i.e. gross final energy demand for RES total, and gross electricity demand for RES-E) (for the assessed policy pathway 5 (ETS only))

Figure 5 - 3.   Indicators on cost/expenditures and benefits of new RES(-E) installations (2021 to 2030), expressing yearly average (2021 to 2030) monetary values at EU-27 level in absolute terms (left) and the change compared to reference (for the assessed policy pathway 5 (ETS only))

Figure 5 - 4.   Country-specific breakdown of yearly average (2021 to 2030) capital expenditures in new RES and RES-E installations (2021 to 2030), expressing investments as share of (country-specific) GDP (for the assessed policy pathway 5 (ETS only)

Figure 5 - 5.   Country-specific breakdown of yearly average (2021 to 2030) support expenditures for RES total and RES-E, expressing expenditures as share of (country-specific) GDP (for the assessed policy pathway 5 (ETS only))

Figure 5 - 6.   Yearly average (2021 to 2030) monetary transfers between Member States related to the support for RES, expressing additional expenditures (+) or income (-) as share of (country-specific) GDP (for the assessed policy pathway 5 (ETS only))

Note: Additional expenditure or income stems from the underlying cost allocation under a full or medium harmonisation of RES support, or they refer to RES cooperation in the case of soft, minimum or no harmonisation, respectively.

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General contact for more infomation: resch@eeg.tuwien.ac.at
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